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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Fleetwood

Brannagan (14'), Harris (30', 83'), Dale (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wiredu (35'), Lawal (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Fleetwood Town

 While neither side have been in great form coming into this match, Oxford have picked up almost double the points of Fleetwood this season and are favourites to win this game. The visitors have won one game away from home since November - with a 2-0 victory against Bristol Rovers in February - while they have failed to win away against Oxford United since 2018. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
56.54% (-0.146 -0.15) 22.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.29% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (0.058 0.06)42.47% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)64.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)14.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)43.16% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (0.15000000000001 0.15)33.76% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (0.163 0.16)70.42% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 56.54%
    Fleetwood Town 21.29%
    Draw 22.18%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Fleetwood Town
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Fleetwood
0-3
Oxford Utd

Robertson (37'), Vela (65')
Mills (16'), Bodin (27'), Edwards (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Fleetwood
1-2
Oxford Utd
Wiredu (44')
Joseph (62'), Brown (90')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-1
Fleetwood
O'Donkor (50')
Mendes Gomes (2')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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