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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Portsmouth

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Carroll (79')
FT

Raggett (60'), Sparkes (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Portsmouth

Despite experiencing three frustrating results, Portsmouth will still be pleased with their efforts in the first half of the season, and we think that they will get their promotion bid back on track against an Exeter side they have already beaten this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
22.4% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 23.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 53.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)48.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (0.036999999999999 0.04)70.35% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)35.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)72.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.83% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)48.57% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 22.4%
    Portsmouth 53.79%
    Draw 23.79%
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 22.4%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.79%

How you voted: Exeter vs Portsmouth

Exeter City
4.8%
Draw
4.8%
Portsmouth
90.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Portsmouth
1-0
Exeter
Bishop (70')
Poole (51'), Sparkes (74'), Robertson (79'), Ogilvie (89'), Shaughnessy (90')

Hartridge (44')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Portsmouth
2-0
Exeter
Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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