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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Morecambe |
46.24% | 24.08% | 29.68% |
Both teams to score 58.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% | 43.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.07% | 65.93% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% | 19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% | 50.55% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% | 27.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% | 63.2% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |