FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon4 - 3Cheltenham
We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Cheltenham Town
Both sides will have dreams of a cup run this season, and with that in mind, we expect this to be a close-fought affair. Cheltenham have drawn three of their last four away games, and we think that Saturday's encounter will end all square with a replay required to separate the two teams. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
40.11% | 25.04% | 34.85% |
Both teams to score 57.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% | 46.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% | 68.37% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% | 22.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.44% | 56.56% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% | 25.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.43% | 60.57% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon 40.11%
Cheltenham Town 34.85%
Draw 25.04%
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-1 @ 8.69% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.85% |
How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham
AFC Wimbledon
41.7%Draw
41.7%Cheltenham Town
16.7%12
Head to Head
May 2, 2015 3pm
Oct 4, 2014 3pm
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-17 18:11:43
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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