Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
47.86% | 26.51% | 25.63% |
Both teams to score 47.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.96% | 56.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% | 77.13% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% | 23.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% | 37.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.87% | 74.13% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |