Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
66.95% | 20.39% | 12.66% |
Both teams to score 44.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.32% | 49.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% | 71.7% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% | 13.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% | 41.4% |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.14% | 48.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.15% | 83.85% |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 13.22% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 66.94% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.88% 1-2 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.59% Total : 12.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |