Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.82% ( 0.68) | 26.6% ( 0.36) | 41.58% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% ( -1.24) | 53.42% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( -1.06) | 74.95% ( 1.05) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.82% ( -0.16) | 31.17% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.19) | 67.51% ( 0.18) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -1.08) | 25.36% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -1.51) | 60.15% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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