Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.67% ( -0.03) | 28.58% ( 0.09) | 25.74% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 42.58% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.02% ( -0.31) | 62.98% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.54% ( -0.22) | 82.45% ( 0.23) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( -0.16) | 27.66% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% ( -0.21) | 63.21% ( 0.21) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.87% ( -0.23) | 41.13% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.33% ( -0.2) | 77.67% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.24% Total : 25.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |