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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 at 1pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Atletico Madrid logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Atletico

Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
18.09%24.27%57.64%
Both teams to score 44.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.42%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.45%44.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.43%80.57%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44%50.56%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 18.09%
    Atletico Madrid 57.63%
    Draw 24.26%
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 4.6%
2-0 @ 2.77%
3-1 @ 1.24%
3-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 14.05%
0-2 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 5.22%
0-4 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 57.63%

How you voted: Alaves vs Atletico

Alaves
6.9%
Draw
8.6%
Atletico Madrid
84.5%
116
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
1-0
Alaves
Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 17
Alaves
1-2
Atletico
Felipe (84' og.)
Laguardia (63')
Llorente (41'), Suarez (90')
Carrasco (29'), Suarez (90+3')
Jun 27, 2020 9pm
Oct 29, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 11
Alaves
1-1
Atletico
Perez (83')
Wakaso (29'), Laguardia (61'), Garcia (89')
Morata (70')
Llorente (16'), Felipe (75'), Hermoso (89')
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
0-4
Atletico

Pina (50'), Garcia (56')
Niguez (5'), Costa (11'), Morata (59'), Partey (89')
Lemar (55'), Juanfran (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona35236675443175
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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