Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.