MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 08:19:18| >> :60:121:121:
Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Venezuela national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 2
Venezuela

Al-Dawsari (73')
Abdul Hamid (18')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martinez (26'), Rondon (34')
Osorio (12'), Rondon (52'), Gonzalez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Mexico
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup

Venezuela

All competitions
Last Game: Venezuela 1-2 Syria
Sunday, November 20 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Venezuela

 Although the Venezuelans play with much less fear in friendlies than games that count, the Green Falcons are in an element they know well and should benefit from the home crowd and an environment they are comfortable in, so we believe they will have the edge on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawVenezuela
39.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 28.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.39% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)80.98% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.21% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)66.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)34.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.7% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 39.3%
    Venezuela 32.02%
    Draw 28.65%
Saudi ArabiaDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 39.3%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.65%
0-1 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 32.02%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Venezuela

Saudi Arabia
75.8%
Draw
12.1%
Venezuela
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 6pm
International Friendly
Saudi Arabia
0-1
Venezuela

Al Hassan (29')
Ferraresi (37')
Soteldo (53')
rhs 2.0
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