MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 12:39:40| >> :60:550:550:
Japan national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 11.20am UK
National Olympic Stadium
Colombia national football team

Japan
1 - 2
Colombia

Mitoma (3')
Sugawara (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duran (33'), Borre (61')
Machado (17'), Valoyes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Uruguay
Friday, March 24 at 10.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 2-2 Colombia
Friday, March 24 at 11am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Japan 1-1 Colombia

Both teams are in good form with creative players and plenty of quality, so we expect there to be chances at both ends in what promises to be an even game, and given the fighting spirit of each, we will call this one an even draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
JapanDrawColombia
41.42% (0.156 0.16) 29.9% (-0.035 -0.04) 28.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 41.03% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.23% (0.064999999999998 0.06)65.77% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.57% (0.042999999999999 0.04)84.42% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (0.124 0.12)31.38% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (0.143 0.14)67.75% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)40.2% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)76.83% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Japan 41.42%
    Colombia 28.67%
    Draw 29.89%
JapanDrawColombia
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.42%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.89%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 28.67%

How you voted: Japan vs Colombia

Japan
68.8%
Draw
14.6%
Colombia
16.7%
48
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2019 10.20am
International Friendlies
Japan
0-1
Colombia

Shibasaki (68')
Falcao (64' pen.)
Jun 19, 2018 1pm
Group H
Colombia
1-2
Japan
Quintero (39')
Barrios (64'), Rodriguez (86')
Sanchez (3')
Kagawa (6' pen.), Osako (73')
Kawashima (90')
rhs 2.0
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