Friendlies 1
Sep 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Germany2 - 1France
The Match
Match Report
Goals from Thomas Muller and Leroy Sane see Germany beat France 2-1 in Dortmund on Tuesday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Germany and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for Tuesday's friendly against France in Dortmund.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 1-4 Japan
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Last Game: France 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 5 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Germany had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | France |
29.28% ( -0.11) | 24.02% ( 0.02) | 46.7% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
