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Wrexham AFC
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Sheffield United logo

Wrexham
3 - 3
Sheff Utd

Jones (50'), O'Connor (61'), Mullin (86')
Young (56'), McFadzean (64'), Tozer (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McBurnie (2'), Norwood (65'), Egan (90+5')
Egan (45+7'), Bogle (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Wrexham narrowly miss out on earning a place in the FA Cup fifth round, the National League side conceding a 95th-minute equaliser to draw 3-3 with Sheffield United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Wrexham and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Hull City
Friday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawSheffield United
42.25% (3.203 3.2) 24.8% (0.503 0.5) 32.95% (-3.704 -3.7)
Both teams to score 57.71% (-2.613 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-3.064 -3.06)45.4% (3.065 3.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-2.993 -2.99)67.73% (2.996 3)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.20899999999999 0.21)21.52% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.321 0.32)54.57% (-0.318 -0.32)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-3.535 -3.54)26.47% (3.537 3.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-4.947 -4.95)61.66% (4.949 4.95)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 42.25%
    Sheffield United 32.95%
    Draw 24.8%
WrexhamDrawSheffield United
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.383 0.38)
1-0 @ 8.75% (1.144 1.14)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.915 0.92)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.488 0.49)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.194 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.25%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.714 0.71)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.518 -0.52)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.371 -0.37)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.624 -0.62)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.422 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.352 -0.35)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Sheff Utd

Wrexham
39.5%
Draw
8.6%
Sheffield United
51.9%
81
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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