MX23RW : Thursday, May 30 12:32:18| >> :600:252750:252750:
Juventus logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Freiburg logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Freiburg

di Maria (53')
Bremer (72'), Bonucci (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ginter (24'), Holer (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Freiburg

Juventus have not won a European trophy since 1996, and with a point to prove given recent events at the club, they should be clear-minded about their task. While Freiburg are far from pushovers, the Bianconeri possess far more individual quality and experience at this level, so can take a lead with them to Germany next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFreiburg
56.89% (0.656 0.66) 22.38% (-0.453 -0.45) 20.73% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.88% (1.175 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (1.712 1.71)44.08% (-1.713 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (1.648 1.65)66.46% (-1.648 -1.65)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.816 0.82)15.27% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (1.514 1.51)43.97% (-1.515 -1.52)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (0.768 0.77)35.22% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (0.794 0.79)71.98% (-0.795 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 56.89%
    Freiburg 20.73%
    Draw 22.37%
JuventusDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.95% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.73%

How you voted: Juventus vs Freiburg

Juventus
85.9%
Draw
7.7%
Freiburg
6.4%
220
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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