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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
44.07% ( -2.32) | 22.91% ( 0.12) | 33.02% ( 2.2) |
Both teams to score 64.62% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.63% ( 0.39) | 36.36% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.5% ( 0.43) | 58.49% ( -0.43) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.97% ( -0.73) | 17.02% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.83% ( -1.31) | 47.16% ( 1.31) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.87% ( 1.44) | 22.12% ( -1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.5% ( 2.13) | 55.5% ( -2.13) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) Other @ 4.26% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.41% Total : 33.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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