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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
FC Twente logo
Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion na Banovom brdu

FC Twente
4 - 1
Cukaricki

Propper (17'), Vlap (34'), Tzolis (84', 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adzic (7')
Badamosi (54'), Ivanovic (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Twente and Cukaricki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

Last Six:
Last Game: NEC 0-1 FC Twente
Sunday, August 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Cukaricki

Last Six:
    Last Game: Cukaricki 1-3 FC Twente
    Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

    We said: FC Twente 2-0 Cukaricki

     We expect a comfortable FC Twente victory to wrap up their progression to the next stage of the Europa Conference League. Cukaricki only gained a foothold on home soil once their opponents had taken their foot off the gas having gained a three-goal lead, so we cannot envisage them pushing the Dutch side away from home. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

    The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

    Result
    FC TwenteDrawCukaricki
    46.1% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 27.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
    Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    47.37% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)52.63% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    25.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)74.28% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
    FC Twente Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.21% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.79% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    43.5% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)56.5% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
    Cukaricki Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    66.38% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)33.61% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    29.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Score Analysis
        FC Twente 46.1%
        Cukaricki 27.92%
        Draw 25.98%
    FC TwenteDrawCukaricki
    1-0 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
    2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    2-0 @ 8.38% (0.0040000000000013 0)
    3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    3-0 @ 4.13%
    3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
    4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
    4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 2.08%
    Total : 46.1%
    		1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 7.66% (0.011 0.01)
    2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
    Other @ 0.99%
    Total : 25.98%
    		0-1 @ 8.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
    1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.66%
    Other @ 2.37%
    Total : 27.92%

    How you voted: Cukaricki vs FC Twente

    Cukaricki
    25.7%
    Draw
    8.6%
    FC Twente
    65.7%
    35
    Head to Head
    Aug 4, 2022 7pm
    Cukaricki
    1-3
    FC Twente
    Kovac (59')
    Badamosi (48')
    Rots (8'), Vlap (31'), Brenet (43')
    Smal (65'), Sadilek (85')
    rhs 2.0
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