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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitesse in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Cambuur |
66.78% ( -0.48) | 19.14% ( 0.22) | 14.08% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.93% ( -0.43) | 41.07% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.54% ( -0.44) | 63.46% ( 0.44) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.6% ( -0.25) | 11.4% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.85% ( -0.54) | 36.15% ( 0.55) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.71% ( 0.1) | 41.28% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.19% ( 0.09) | 77.81% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Cambuur |
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.87% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.14% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 14.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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