As with most games involving sides in the lower echelons of the table, we are expecting a nervy and cagey affair with both teams focusing on not losing rather than going for all three points. However, Waalwijk have a slight edge playing in front of their fans, and we can see them nicking this one by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
