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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
69.83% ( 0.06) | 17.53% ( -0.03) | 12.63% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.59% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.06% ( 0.07) | 36.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.87% ( 0.07) | 59.13% ( -0.07) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.5% ( 0.03) | 9.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.14% ( 0.07) | 31.86% ( -0.07) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.21% | 40.79% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.64% ( -0) | 77.36% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 69.83% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 12.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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