Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde5 - 1Sarpsborg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valerenga 0-4 Molde
Saturday, July 15 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Saturday, July 15 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-3 HamKam
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Molde 3-1 Sarpsborg 08
Molde's home form coming into this one means that it is hard to look past them as favourites here. We are backing the hosts to come away with all three points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
73.22% ( 0) | 15.02% ( 0.05) | 11.76% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
