MX23RW : Monday, May 13 05:20:46| >> :600:803061:803061:
Swansea logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Swansea
2 - 3
Bournemouth

Grimes (9' pen.), Paterson (79')
Ginnelly (24'), Abdulai (52'), Naughton (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brooks (55'), Traore (68'), Christie (90+1')
Brooks (21'), Senesi (39'), Solanke (86'), Kerkez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Bournemouth

Bournemouth have a stronger squad than Swansea, and we are expecting the Premier League outfit to book their spot in the third round of the competition. The Cherries have enjoyed their recent matches against Swansea, and we are backing that to continue in Tuesday's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
56.05% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 22.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.05%
    Bournemouth 21.83%
    Draw 22.12%
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bournemouth

Swansea City
21.0%
Draw
15.0%
Bournemouth
64.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Swansea
3-3
Bournemouth
Piroe (6', 12'), Christie (58')
Christie (45+4'), Smith (53')
Moore (72', 90'), Solanke (81' pen.)
Lowe (30'), Anthony (56'), Phillips (67'), Billing (75'), Lerma (84'), Solanke (90+6')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-0
Swansea
Solanke (25', 49'), Anthony (64', 90+3')
Billing (29'), Solanke (40')

Downes (30'), Bennett (39'), Ntcham (53')
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Bournemouth
3-0
Swansea
Billing (9'), Latibeaudiere (45+1' og.), Danjuma (87')
Rico (58')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
0-0
Bournemouth
Smith (10')
Solanke (30'), Rico (57'), Billing (73')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
1-0
Swansea
Fraser (37')
King (51')

Olsson (36'), van der Hoorn (58'), Mawson (69'), King (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!