EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 2Leicester
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
28.35% | 26.07% | 45.58% |
Both teams to score 51.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% | 52.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% | 74.39% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.64% | 33.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.02% | 69.98% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% | 23.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% | 56.94% |
Score Analysis |
Millwall 28.35%
Leicester City 45.58%
Draw 26.07%
Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Leicester
Millwall
14.0%Draw
14.6%Leicester City
71.3%171
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2014 3pm
Nov 30, 2013 3pm
Mar 29, 2013 7.45pm
Dec 15, 2012 3pm
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 01:16:35
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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