EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
4 - 0
Hartlepool

Wharton (32'), Dack (47'), Dolan (51'), Markanday (73')
Dack (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Crawford (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Blackburn Rovers	2	4	6
2	Sunderland	2	1	4
3	Birmingham City	2	1	4

Hartlepool United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Swindon Town	2	-3	1
20	Hartlepool United	2	-4	1
21	Stockport County	2	-2	0

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Hartlepool United

With Tomasson almost certainly making widespread changes to his Rovers side, Hartlepool will feel like the door is slightly ajar when it comes to causing a surprise. However, the home team should still have too much quality in their ranks to earn a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Hartlepool United
47.65% ( -0.1)	25.81% ( 0.3)	26.53% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

-1.34)

52.81% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

-1.16)

74.43% (

1.16)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

-0.61)

22.16% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44% (

-0.92)

55.55% (

0.91)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

-0.89)

34.82% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

-0.95)

71.56% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 47.65%

Hartlepool United 26.53%

Draw 25.8%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 47.65%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.53%