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Italy national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Albania national football team

Italy
vs.
Albania

Coverage of the European Championship Group Stage clash between Italy and Albania.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Italy vs. Turkey
Tuesday, June 4 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Albania vs. Liechtenstein
Monday, June 3 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 71.54%. A draw has a probability of 17.8% and a win for Albania has a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.81%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Albania win it is 0-1 (3.83%).

Result
ItalyDrawAlbania
71.54%17.83%10.62%
Both teams to score 45.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09%43.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7%66.3%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06%10.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.85%35.15%
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.19%48.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.18%83.82%
Score Analysis
    Italy 71.53%
    Albania 10.62%
    Draw 17.83%
ItalyDrawAlbania
2-0 @ 13.07%
1-0 @ 11.81%
3-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 6.92%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 71.53%
1-1 @ 8.48%
0-0 @ 5.34%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.83%
0-1 @ 3.83%
1-2 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 10.62%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Albania
1-3
Italy
Ismajli (16')
Di Lorenzo (20'), Grifo (25', 64')
Oct 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Albania
0-1
Italy
Candreva (73')
Mar 24, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
2-0
Albania
De Rossi (12' pen.), Immobile (71')
rhs 2.0
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