MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 02:34:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Jong Ajax

Kostons (3', 13')
Kostons (42'), Coomans (64'), Matthys (90+1')
Souren (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Misehouy (87')
Gooijer (42'), Misehouy (90+1'), Agougil (90+5'), Vos (90+4')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 MVV
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Cambuur 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
50.48% (0.123 0.12) 21.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 66% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)33.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.02% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)13.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (0.058 0.06)40.7% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)23.62% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.123 -0.12)57.71% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.48%
    Jong Ajax 27.85%
    Draw 21.67%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.85%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
4-2
MVV
Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 37
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
Jong Ajax
3-1
MVV
Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Jong Ajax
4-3
MVV
Unuvar (12'), Musampa (39'), Martha (53'), Hansen (76')
Baas (37')
Naudts (29', 87'), Mickels (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II382310577354279
2Groningen38229771304175
3Roda JC382112569343575
4Dordrecht381815574512369
5ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag381712972502263
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap38196136152963
7EmmenEmmen38176155960-157
8NAC BredaNAC Breda381511126356756
9MVV MaastrichtMVV38168146460456
10Jong AZJong AZ38168146261156
11Helmond SportHelmond38149155255-351
12VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo38139165358-548
13Cambuur38138177174-347
14FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven38916134557-1243
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax381010185469-1540
16Jong PSVJong PSV38117206381-1840
17TelstarTelstar3898214768-2135
18TOP OssOss38104243266-3434
19Den BoschDen Bosch3889213868-3033
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht38511223274-4226


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