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DC United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 27
Aug 22, 2021 at 1am UK
RFK Stadium
Atlanta United

DC United
1 - 2
Atlanta

Reyna (54')
Alfaro (50'), Canouse (58'), Moreno (73'), Gressel (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (25'), Moreno (82')
Bello (29'), (75')

Preview: DC United vs. Atlanta United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

It is a battle of the Uniteds as DC United take on Atlanta United at Audi Field in the MLS Eastern Conference on Saturday night.

Just three points separates the two teams but the home side are well inside the playoff spots in sixth while their opponents sit in ninth.


Match preview

DC United head coach Hernan Losada smiles as he walks off the field after the against FC Cincinnati in the first half at TQL Stadium on July 31, 2021© Reuters

In 2021, Hernan Losada has seen his team score their fair share of goals, notching more than once in eight matches this year, but they have been conceding too many to get near the top of the table, particularly in their last two games.

A chastening 5-2 loss to Nashville SC on Saturday was followed up by another high-scoring match against the Eastern Conference Leaders New England Revolution on Wednesday.

Paul Arriola gave DC an early lead, only to leave the match moments after with an apparent left hamstring injury, and despite making it to half time with that lead intact, things unravelled very quickly after play restarted.

Two quick-fire New England goals in the space of four minutes put them ahead, and a third late on secured the win, despite a late consolation from Ramon Abila to make it 3-2.

While there is certainly no shame in losing to the runaway leaders, Losada will have to find a way to stop his team conceding with such apparent ease and to improve what is a poor away record - those two recent losses on the road make it seven in total this season.

DC may be above the playoff line as we enter the second half of the season, but if they want to remain in the top seven and possibly make a strong run in the postseason, they need to start earning some points both on their travels and against the stronger sides in the league.

Atlanta United midfielder Marcelino Moreno (10) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against the Columbus Crew in the second half at Lower.com Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Neither of those issues may come into play in this particular fixture, however, with DC playing at home against an Atlanta side who have had a fair few troubles of their own this year.

The Five Stripes experienced a painful, 12-game winless streak earlier between May and August after a relatively promising start to the season.

They appear to have turned things around, though, at least in part thanks to the appointment of new manager Gonzalo Pineda, and made it three consecutive victories with a 1-0 triumph against Toronto on Wednesday.

Ezequiel Barco scored the all-important goal - with a little help from a deflection - after 20 minutes and former Aston Villa goalkeeper Brad Guzan kept the Reds at bay for the remainder of the game.

DC United Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Atlanta United Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

United States forward Paul Arriola (7) celebrates his goal against Guyana at the Gold Cup on June 18, 2019© Reuters

As previously mentioned, Arriola will likely be out for a few games now with a hamstring issue - a recurrence of an injury he struggled with whilst playing for the US men's national team at the Concacaf Gold Cup last month.

He is just one of a long list of injuries for DC, who are missing Brendan Hines-Ike with a hip injury, Adrien Perez with a foot problem and Russell Canouse with an ankle issue.

Nigel Robertha, Bill Hamid and Donovan Pines are also still on the sidelines.

Atlanta are not short of problems either; Franco Ibarra remains out with a muscle injury, as do Mohammed Adams and Jake Mulraney.

Emerson Hyndman is a long-term absence with an ACL injury, but there are some positives with both Brooks Lennon and Luiz Araujo returning for the game against Toronto.

DC United possible starting lineup:
Kempin; Odoi-Atsem, Brillant, Birnbaum; Yow, Asad, Felipe, Skundrich, Mora; Reyna, Flores

Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Guzan; Bello, Walkes, Franco, Robinson, Lennon; Moreno, Sosa, Araujo; Barco, Martinez


SM words green background

We say: DC United 2-1 Atlanta United

Something will have to give - either the strong home record of DC or the current winning streak of Atlanta. We think, on the balance of things, DC will have just too much for the visitors, but it should be an interesting battle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: DC United vs Atlanta

DC United
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Atlanta United
21.4%
14
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New England Revolution forward Gustavo Bou celebrates scoring with teammates on June 28, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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