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Copa Libertadores
Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Cobresal

Silva (82'), Calleri (88')
Carpini (19'), Luciano (26'), Maia (29'), Galoppo (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bechtholdt (18'), Castro (28'), Valencia (67'), Navarro (86'), Filla (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Cobresal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Cobresal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cobresal 1-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Cobresal win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCobresal
75.8% (-0.176 -0.18) 15.7% (0.057 0.06) 8.5% (0.1189 0.12)
Both teams to score 44.36% (0.358 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (0.16500000000001 0.17)40.79% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (0.171 0.17)63.18% (-0.172 -0.17)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.85%
Cobresal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.79% (0.395 0.4)51.21% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.52% (0.264 0.26)85.48% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 75.79%
    Cobresal 8.5%
    Draw 15.7%
Sao PauloDrawCobresal
2-0 @ 13.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 10.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.42% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.3% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.037 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 75.79%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 15.7%
0-1 @ 3.11% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.5% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 8.5%

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