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Corinthians
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jul 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Arena Corinthians
America Mineiro

Corinthians
3 - 2
America Mineiro

Augusto (47'), Alberto (65'), Guedes (72')
Fagner (42'), Alberto (66'), Guedes (74'), Moscardo (80')
FT
(aet)
Benitez (69'), Mastriani (83')
Benitez (74')
Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Universitario
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We say: Corinthians 1-1 America Mineiro

Both sides could be a little tired having competed in the Copa Sudamericana in midweek, and we can envisage a low-scoring affair given how finely balanced this tie is after America Mineiro's narrow victory in the first leg. However, the visitors have had the edge over Corinthians in their recent battles, and they may prove to be a little more determined given their opportunity to win this competition for the first time in the club's history. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.89%).

Result
CorinthiansDrawAmerica Mineiro
51.11% (1.858 1.86) 25.67% (0.184 0.18) 23.23% (-2.04 -2.04)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-2.583 -2.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (-2.358 -2.36)54.77% (2.36 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (-1.99 -1.99)76.08% (1.991 1.99)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)21.47% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (-0.26 -0.26)54.5% (0.261 0.26)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (-3.151 -3.15)38.82% (3.151 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (-3.113 -3.11)75.55% (3.113 3.11)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 51.1%
    America Mineiro 23.23%
    Draw 25.66%
CorinthiansDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.82% (1.08 1.08)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.779 0.78)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.376 0.38)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.135 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.1%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.737 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.412 -0.41)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Corinthians vs America Mineiro

Corinthians
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
America Mineiro
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
America Mineiro
1-0
Corinthians
Juninho (31')
Marlon (67')

Adson (31'), Moscardo (40')
Jun 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
America Mineiro
2-0
Corinthians
Avelar (74' pen.), Marques (87')
Juninho (84')
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
May 29, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 8
Corinthians
1-1
America Mineiro
Silva (82')
Maycon (57'), Gil (85')
Aloisio (67')
Gustavinho (13')
Sep 19, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 21
Corinthians
1-1
America Mineiro
Giuliano (17')
Gabriel (90+5')
Matheus Lopes do Nascimento (7')
rhs 2.0
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