MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 11:52:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 8
Jul 4, 2022 at 8.30am UK
Jinzhou Stadium

Wuhan
2 - 1
Guangzhou

Kajevic (18'), Brown Forbes (79')
Ye (67'), Jinghang (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yang (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Wuhan and Guangzhou, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wuhan

Last Six:
Last Game: Hebei 2-1 Wuhan
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Guangzhou

Last Six:
Last Game: Guangzhou 1-2 Wuhan TT
Thursday, June 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

We said: Wuhan 2-1 Guangzhou

 The sides will head into the match sensing an opportunity to heap more misery on each other, and we are expecting an open affair with chances at both ends. That said, we are tipping Wuhan to narrowly come out on top at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wuhan.

Result
WuhanDrawGuangzhou
48.45% (-0.224 -0.22) 26.8% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 24.75% (0.242 0.24)
Both teams to score 46.41% (0.26799999999999 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32% (0.235 0.23)57.68% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56% (0.184 0.18)78.44% (-0.185 -0.19)
Wuhan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97% (0.353 0.35)39.03% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.329 0.33)75.76% (-0.33 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Wuhan 48.44%
    Guangzhou 24.75%
    Draw 26.79%
WuhanDrawGuangzhou
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.56% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 8.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Wuhan vs Guangzhou

Wuhan
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Guangzhou
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 10.30am
Guangzhou
0-1
Wuhan

Wan (2'), Asqer (11'), Chen (85')
Peng (81')
Hu (31'), Yun (90+4')
Sep 23, 2020 1am
Guangzhou
P-P
Wuhan
May 10, 2020 1am
Wuhan
P-P
Guangzhou
Sep 22, 2019 1pm
Guangzhou
0-1
Wuhan
Yun (60')
Ai (40'), Evrard Kouassi (73')
May 17, 2019 12.35pm
Wuhan
2-3
Guangzhou
Evrard Kouassi (16', 90' pen.)
Yihao (52'), Talisca (64'), Paulinho (82')
Yiming (0'), Zhi (28'), Xuepeng (36')
rhs 2.0
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