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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Hull City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Hull City

Both teams may be somewhat low on confidence following their recent defeats, but they should certainly see Wednesday's meeting as an important one in the playoff fight. Both keen to return to winning ways and particularly to avoid a third straight defeat, we see a draw as the most likely outcome at the Riverside Stadium given their similar quality and recent form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
51.27% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 23.87% (-0.02 -0.02) 24.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (0.088999999999999 0.09)46.09% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (0.084000000000003 0.08)68.39% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.067999999999998 0.07)48.86% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (0.052000000000007 0.05)32.6% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87% (0.061 0.06)69.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 51.27%
    Hull City 24.86%
    Draw 23.87%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
57.7%
Draw
19.2%
Hull City
23.1%
26
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hull City
1-3
Middlesbrough
Christie (60')
Akpom (30'), Figueiredo (63' og.), Christie (80' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
0-1
Hull City

Crooks (16'), Tavernier (70'), Connolly (81')
Lewis-Potter (74')
McLoughlin (26'), Slater (42'), Smallwood (80'), Honeyman (85'), Docherty (89')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Hull City
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lumley (81' og.), Wilks (90+2')
Wilks (90+1')

Tavernier (7'), Peltier (58'), McNair (78')
Jul 2, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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