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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Bayern logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Bayern

Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayern Munich

Hoffenheim are likely to cause this shaky Bayern defence some problems on Saturday, especially given their excellent recent form, but with several defensive absentees, they could struggle to contain this deadly opposition strikeforce. If Lewandowski and co can replicate their exceptional standards of midweek, then there's no reason why Bayern will not stroll to another comfortable victory despite the calibre of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.65%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
20.25%19.1%60.65%
Both teams to score 66.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88%29.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88%50.12%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72%62.28%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51%9.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16%31.83%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 20.25%
    Bayern Munich 60.65%
    Draw 19.1%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.18%
1-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 2.26%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 20.25%
1-1 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 2.56%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 7.09%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 4.79%
1-4 @ 4.3%
0-4 @ 3.28%
2-4 @ 2.82%
1-5 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.54%
2-5 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 60.65%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern

Hoffenheim
10.1%
Draw
10.1%
Bayern Munich
79.7%
79
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-6
Bayern
Gnabry (2'), Kimmich (7'), Zirkzee (15'), Coutinho (33', 47'), Goretzka (62')
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Bayern
4-3
Hoffenheim
Hubner (13' og.), Muller (20'), Lewandowski (36', 80')
Tolisso (40'), Pavard (55'), Alaba (84')
Boateng (8' og.), Dabour (82', 90')
Nordtveit (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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