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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 2-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
22.37% | 22.43% | 55.2% |
Both teams to score 57.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% | 42.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% | 64.68% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.34% | 32.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.79% | 69.21% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% | 43.87% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 5.86% 1-0 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.37% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-1 @ 9.36% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-3 @ 5.53% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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