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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Heidenheim

Dortmund
2 - 2
Heidenheim

Brandt (7'), Can (15' pen.)
Bensebaini (61'), Haller (82'), Can (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dinkci (61'), Kleindienst (82' pen.)
Dinkci (35'), Beste (57'), Pieringer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Heidenheim

Heidenheim could be facing Dortmund at a bad time here after the hosts dropped points in their last match, already putting them two points behind Bayern in their quest to win their first title since 2012. The visitors have not looked completely out of their depth despite competing at this level for the first time in the club's history, but that could change to an extent on Friday, with BVB likely to run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
58.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)11.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.19% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)64.46% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.34%
    Heidenheim 21.34%
    Draw 20.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund
89.0%
Draw
5.0%
Heidenheim
6.0%
100
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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