Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
