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South Korea national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 25, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Janoub Stadium
Malaysia national football team

South Korea
3 - 3
Malaysia

Woo-yeong (21'), Kang-in (83'), Heung-min (90+4' pen.)
Jae-sung (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Halim (51'), Aiman (62' pen.), Morales (90+15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between South Korea and Malaysia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Jordan 2-2 South Korea
Saturday, January 20 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Malaysia
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: South Korea 4-0 Malaysia

The Koreans have had a much tougher group stage than many had anticipated, but they are facing a side coming off a demoralising defeat, which could work to the advantage of the Tigers of Asia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 11.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawMalaysia
70.09% (0.13199999999999 0.13) 18.42% (-0.035 -0.04) 11.49% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-0.207 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.105 -0.1)44.18% (0.105 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.102 -0.1)66.56% (0.101 0.1)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11.4% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.84% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.16% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Malaysia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.239 -0.24)47.39% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.22% (-0.179 -0.18)82.78% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 70.07%
    Malaysia 11.49%
    Draw 18.42%
South KoreaDrawMalaysia
2-0 @ 12.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.76% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.42%
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 11.49%

How you voted: South Korea vs Malaysia

South Korea
87.3%
Draw
2.8%
Malaysia
9.9%
71
rhs 2.0
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