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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Mar 8, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Defensa y Justicia

Belgrano
1 - 1
Defensa

Passerini (72' pen.)
Pastran (59'), Longo (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramos Mingo (17')
Aguilera (56'), Lopez (62'), Lopez (77')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-2 Belgrano
Sunday, March 3 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-4 Lanus
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
BelgranoDrawDefensa y Justicia
39.79% (1.325 1.33) 29.45% (0.331 0.33) 30.77% (-1.65 -1.65)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-1.296 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.16% (-1.377 -1.38)63.84% (1.383 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.93% (-0.995 -1)83.07% (1.001 1)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)31.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.114 0.11)67.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-1.979 -1.98)37.45% (1.984 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-1.998 -2)74.23% (2.004 2)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 39.78%
    Defensa y Justicia 30.76%
    Draw 29.44%
BelgranoDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.61% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.435 0.44)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.74% (0.59 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.44%
0-1 @ 11.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.363 -0.36)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 30.76%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 12am
Gameweek 9
Defensa
0-2
Belgrano

Cardona (21'), Ramos Mingo (39')
Passerini (59'), Sanchez (68')
Lencioni (1'), Rebola (21'), Rolon (65')
Jun 13, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 20
Defensa
2-0
Belgrano
Fernandez (19'), Miritello (90+4')
Gutierrez (58'), Solari (80')
Sep 1, 2018 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Defensa
1-1
Belgrano
Rojas (58')
Larrondo (88')
Brunetta (5')
Suarez (94')
rhs 2.0
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