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Egypt national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Ghana national football team

Egypt
2 - 2
Ghana

Marmoush (69'), Mohamed (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kudus (45+3', 71')
Abdul Samed (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Mozambique
Sunday, January 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ghana 1-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, January 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Egypt 2-1 Ghana

Having both failed to win their opening game, Egypt and Ghana know that Thursday's result is pivotal in their push for a place in the knockout stages. Egypt are unbeaten in their last four games against the Black Stars and we are backing them to take the positives from Sunday's draw and come away with a narrow victory at the Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 67.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.96%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
EgyptDrawGhana
67.09% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.83% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.13% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)52.67% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.83% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)51.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.2% (0.011000000000001 0.01)85.8% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 67.09%
    Ghana 12.07%
    Draw 20.84%
EgyptDrawGhana
1-0 @ 14.64%
2-0 @ 13.96%
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 67.09%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 3.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Egypt vs Ghana

Egypt
79.8%
Draw
9.1%
Ghana
11.1%
99
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2017 7pm
Group Stage
Egypt
1-0
Ghana
Salah (11')
rhs 2.0
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