Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.