Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.17%) and 3-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
40.35% ( -0.02) | 22.07% ( -0.01) | 37.57% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 69.06% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.97% ( 0.07) | 31.03% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.57% ( 0.08) | 52.42% ( -0.08) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.68% ( 0.03) | 16.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.1% ( 0.04) | 45.9% ( -0.04) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% ( 0.05) | 17.47% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.05% ( 0.07) | 47.95% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 37.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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