Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
37.82% ( 0.54) | 25.79% ( 0.01) | 36.4% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.76% ( -0.06) | 49.24% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.7% ( -0.06) | 71.3% ( 0.06) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( 0.27) | 25.47% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( 0.36) | 60.3% ( -0.36) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% ( -0.34) | 26.26% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.62% ( -0.46) | 61.38% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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