World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Poland5 - 0San Marino
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.34%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.77%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | San Marino |
| 67.04% | 21.98% | 10.99% |
| Both teams to score 35.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
