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World Cup
Italy national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals
Mar 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
North Macedonia national football team

Italy
0 - 1
N. Macedonia

FT(HT: 0-0)
Trajkovski (90+2')
Spirovski (80')

The Match

Match Report

European champions Italy will not compete at the 2022 World Cup after suffering a shock 1-0 defeat at home to North Macedonia in their playoff semi-final on Thursday.

Team News

Ciro Immobile is named as captain in Italy's starting lineup for Thursday's 2022 World Cup Qualifying playoff semi-final against North Macedonia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Thursday's World Cup 2022 playoff semi-final with North Macedonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

North Macedonia

Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
ItalyDrawNorth Macedonia
55.68%26.61%17.71%
Both teams to score 38.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.72%63.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.33%82.67%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92%23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08%56.92%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.15%49.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.45%84.55%
Score Analysis
    Italy 55.67%
    North Macedonia 17.71%
    Draw 26.6%
ItalyDrawNorth Macedonia
1-0 @ 16.86%
2-0 @ 12.36%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.21%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 55.67%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 3%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 17.71%

How you voted: Italy vs N. Macedonia

Italy
84.4%
North Macedonia
15.6%
275
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group G
Italy
1-1
N. Macedonia
Chiellini (40')
Parolo (69')
Trajkovski (77')
Spirovski (53'), Hasani (61')
> Match Report
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Group G
N. Macedonia
2-3
Italy
Nestorovski (57'), Hasani (60')
Alioski (40'), Spirovski (53'), Ibraimi (67'), Petrovikj (96')
Belotti (24'), Immobile (75', 92')
Parolo (70')
> Match Report
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