Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Aug 16, 2020 at 4pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso2 - 0Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Cerro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Cerro |
| 38.94% | 27.82% | 33.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
