MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 08:15:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Cerro

Arezo (19'), Sanchez (56' pen.)
Rodriguez (22'), Coelho (36'), Arezo (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (24'), Souza (51'), Cabral (54'), Magallanes (64'), Rodriguez (67'), Abero (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Cerro
Monday, March 29 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawCerro
49.76% (0.175 0.18) 27.51% (-0.148 -0.15) 22.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.65% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48% (0.458 0.46)61.52% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (0.341 0.34)81.38% (-0.334 -0.33)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.291 0.29)24.97% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.398 0.4)59.61% (-0.392 -0.39)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85% (0.244 0.24)43.16% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (0.204 0.2)79.42% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 49.75%
    Cerro 22.73%
    Draw 27.51%
PenarolDrawCerro
1-0 @ 14.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 49.75%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.73%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
Cerro
1-1
Penarol
Cabrera (60' pen.)
Gonzalez (44'), Tancredi (64')
Urreta (22')
Urreta (35'), Herrera (41'), Formiliano (76')
Dawson (57')
Feb 15, 2020 9pm
Penarol
2-1
Cerro
Xisco (10'), Trindade (90')
Gonzalez (22'), Abascal (51'), Xisco (61')
Cardozo (71')
Paiva (29')
Moreira (51'), Brasil (74')
Nov 6, 2019 7pm
Cerro
1-3
Penarol
Roldan (83')
Diaz (16'), Izquierdo (87')
Xisco (23', 60'), Rebollo (80')
Xisco (16'), Trindade (45')
Apr 20, 2019 11pm
Penarol
1-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (51' pen.)
Lema (48'), Viatri (53'), Fernandez (53'), Hernandez (63')
Tancredi (71')
Moreira (56'), Puente (87')
Moreira (62')
Sep 2, 2018 10pm
Penarol
3-2
Cerro
Rodriguez (55'), Rodriguez (87'), Viatri (88')
Viatri (13'), Freitas (58'), Busquets (75')
Viatri (89')
Acevedo (42', 63')
Torres (57'), Nunez (73'), Acevedo (87'), Zazpe (94')
Torres (77'), Porras (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1412203072338
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
4Defensor SportingDefensor1474328171125
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6LiverpoolLiverpool144642221118
7Racing de MontevideoRacing145361919018
8Cerro Largo145361516-118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers144371319-615
10Rampla JuniorsRampla144371425-1115
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado144281318-514
12CerroCerro143561625-914
13River PlateRiver Plate143471722-513
14FenixFenix143471116-513
15DanubioDanubio143471218-613
16Miramar Misiones142571825-711


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