MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 00:44:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
FC Zurich
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
Lugano

FC Zurich
3 - 0
Lugano

Afriyie (68', 76'), Okita (80')
Afriyie (71'), Daprela (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between FC Zurich and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Servette 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-0 St Gallen
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: FC Zurich 1-2 Lugano

While FC Zurich have made a promising start to the season, Lugano have looked in excellent rhythm so far, and their record in this fixture from last season cannot be ignored. They won both away matches against this opponent last term by a one-goal margin, and we expect the same this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC ZurichDrawLugano
47.74% (-2.128 -2.13) 23.87% (0.522 0.52) 28.38% (1.603 1.6)
Both teams to score 58.44% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (-1.229 -1.23)43.35% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (-1.22 -1.22)65.74% (1.22 1.22)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-1.287 -1.29)18.32% (1.286 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-2.229 -2.23)49.4% (2.227 2.23)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (0.524 0.52)28.45% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (0.655 0.66)64.21% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 47.74%
    Lugano 28.39%
    Draw 23.86%
FC ZurichDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.276 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.286 0.29)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.438 0.44)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.331 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: FC Zurich vs Lugano

FC Zurich
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Lugano
50.0%
8
Head to Head
May 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 36
FC Zurich
2-3
Lugano
Simic (86'), Aiyegun (89')
Matthew (29'), Okita (50'), Katic (77'), Seiler (88')
Hajrizi (18'), Celar (41'), Steffen (90+4')
Espinoza (26'), Steffen (73')
Mar 11, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Aliseda (22'), Sabbatini (45+2')
Nov 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Steffen (12'), Aliseda (71')
Sep 3, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
FC Zurich
1-2
Lugano
Aiyegun (24')
Mets (9'), Avdijaj (26'), Rohner (60'), Selnaes (90')
Steffen (5'), El Amine Amoura (90')
Celar (19')
May 19, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 35
Lugano
2-1
FC Zurich
Sabbatini (4', 28')
Custodio (22'), Sabbatini (35')
Gogia (3')
Kamberi (41'), Gnonto (44'), Kramer (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Young Boys37228773343974
2LuganoLugano372051267491865
3Servette3717101057431461
4FC Zurich3715121051401157
5St GallenSt Gallen371691259491057
6FC WinterthurWinterthur371310146068-849
Relegation Round
1Luzern381310154753-649
2Basel381310154552-749
3Yverdon Sport38138175071-2147
4Lausanne SportLausanne381112154853-545
5Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper38108204149-838
6Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO3878234077-3729
 
Regular Season
1Young Boys33198667323565
2LuganoLugano331851061441759
3Servette33169853381557
4St GallenSt Gallen33148115344950
5FC WinterthurWinterthur331310105556-149
6FC Zurich33121294435948
7Luzern33128134146-544
8Lausanne SportLausanne331010134348-540
9Basel33117154151-1040
10Yverdon Sport33117154364-2140
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper3386193545-1030
12Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO3358203366-3323


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