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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı

Kayserispor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Kocaman (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (6'), Kadioglu (67')
Szalai (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Giresunspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kayserispor 1-2 Fenerbahce

Despite the recent uptick in home results, the broader inspection of the outcome of Kayserispor's games in Kayseri does not inspire much confidence in their ability to end Fener's unbeaten streak. The visitors are unbeaten since their 3-0 thrashing by title rivals Galatasaray and five without defeat is expected to become six without losing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
23.11% (-0.155 -0.16) 21.62% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 55.27% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.41% (0.074999999999996 0.07)37.59% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)59.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)29.41% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.102 -0.1)65.4% (0.101 0.1)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)13.6% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (0.176 0.18)40.72% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 23.11%
    Fenerbahce 55.27%
    Draw 21.62%
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.11%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.48% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 55.27%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce

Kayserispor
21.4%
Draw
7.1%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
14
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Kayserispor
Pedro (37'), King (50')
Kadioglu (74'), Szalai (87')

Campanharo (75'), Mensah (82')
Apr 2, 2022 2pm
Kayserispor
0-4
Fenerbahce

Bulut (73')
Zajc (16'), Rossi (45'), Kahveci (54'), Guler (90+3')
Aziz (35'), Osayi-Samuel (56')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-2
Kayserispor
Zajc (85'), Ozil (90+9' pen.)
Kolovetsios (39'), Gavranovic (61')
Civelek (90+8')
May 15, 2021 6.30pm
Kayserispor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Henrique (18')
Muhar (44'), Parlak (55'), Behich (88'), Henrique (88')
Parlak (89')
Valencia (90' pen.), Aziz (90+8')
Valencia (7'), Erkin (32')
Jan 25, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
3-0
Kayserispor
Thiam (20'), Samatta (51'), Cisse (86')
Valencia (18'), Pelkas (69')

Korkmaz (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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