Istanbul1 - 2Galatasaray
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 17 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 0-2 Galatasaray
Galatasaray won the league title by an eight-point margin last season, and they have made a very solid start to the ongoing campaign, having won their last three league games on the spin. Given that Istanbul Basaksehir have been very poor up to this point, we expect the visitors to record a relatively comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Galatasaray |
21.59% ( -0.01) | 23.39% ( 0.01) | 55.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
