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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 2
Hatayspor

Szymanski (7'), Osayi-Samuel (15'), Dzeko (39'), Kahveci (63')
Becao (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Ghoulam (55'), Aabid (90+4')
Dele-Bashiru (20'), Kilama (61'), Bekaroglu (69'), Lamkel Ze (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Konyaspor
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Hatayspor

No side in Turkey appears capable of stopping Fenerbahce in their tracks currently, and another unbeaten start may go here with a routine home win. Hatayspor's start has been excellent, especially given the horrible circumstances surrounding the club over the past few months, and an expected defeat should not damage morale too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.71%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
86.71% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51) 9.05% (0.283 0.28) 4.24% (0.2249 0.22)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.66099999999999 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.07% (-0.262 -0.26)24.93% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.17% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)44.82% (0.347 0.35)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.21% (-0.116 -0.12)3.79% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.8% (-0.386 -0.39)16.2% (0.387 0.39)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.743 0.74)52.07% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.479 0.48)86.05% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 86.71%
    Hatayspor 4.24%
    Draw 9.05%
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
3-0 @ 11.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.43% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 6.17% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 6.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
5-1 @ 4.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 3.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.078 0.08)
6-1 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.046 0.05)
7-0 @ 1.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 86.71%
1-1 @ 4.22% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 1.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.05%
1-2 @ 1.38% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.29% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 4.24%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor

Fenerbahce
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Hatayspor
0.0%
24
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 5pm
Dec 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
Fenerbahce
4-0
Hatayspor
King (20'), Batshuayi (26'), Dursun (86'), Henrique (90+5')
Feb 20, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 26
Fenerbahce
2-0
Hatayspor
Dursun (67' pen., 81' pen.)

Ribeiro (17'), Temel (38')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 7
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Saint-Louis (70')
Biram Diouf (78'), Kamara (86')
Rossi (17'), Novak (29')
Hakan Yandas (44'), Pereira (45'), Novak (90+1')
Feb 2, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Boupendza (90')
Caytemel (38'), Ribeiro (50'), Santos (59'), Boupendza (89'), Erdogan (90+2')
Thiam (26'), Billong (88' og.)
Cisse (73'), Bayindir (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray36323189246599
2Fenerbahce36296192316193
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor361941364481661
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul361771251401158
5BesiktasBesiktas36167134943655
6KasimpasaKasimpasa36157146064-452
7SivassporSivasspor371312124553-851
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor361214105148350
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor36147154856-849
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor371212134348-548
11Adana Demirspor371014135255-344
12Samsunspor36119164048-842
13KayserisporKayserispor361111144153-1241
14KonyasporKonyaspor36913143748-1140
15AnkaragucuAnkaragucu36815134448-439
16GaziantepGaziantep36108184656-1038
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk36910174548-337
18Hatayspor36813154150-937
19Pendikspor3699184272-3036
RIstanbulspor3747262774-4716


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