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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Lecce logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Lecce

Spezia's collapse against Atalanta would have concerned their manager Gotti, who is likely to be forced into starting an inexperienced youngster in goal due to injuries. As such, we would not be surprised if Lecce extend their winning run to four matches on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawLecce
35.79% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.74% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 37.47% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.386 -0.39)53.32% (0.382 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.329 -0.33)74.87% (0.324 0.32)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.155 -0.16)28.56% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.194 -0.19)64.36% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.271 -0.27)27.57% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)63.09% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 35.79%
    Lecce 37.46%
    Draw 26.74%
SpeziaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.46%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lecce

Spezia
31.5%
Draw
22.2%
Lecce
46.3%
54
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
May 11, 2019 2pm
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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